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Uhlu lwezimoto ezintsha nezisetshenzisiwe kanye nokuhlinzekwa ngamadola namayunithi: isiphithiphithi

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Izimpahla zabathengisi bezimoto ezintsha nezike zasetshenziswa kanye nezingxenye zehle zafinyelela ku-$145 billion ngokwemibandela yamadola ngo-Okthoba, izinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngentwasahlobo ka-2012, lehle ngo-23% kusukela ngo-Okthoba nyakenye kanye nokwehla ngo-40% ezinyangeni zangaphambi kwalolu bhubhane. kudatha ekhishwe uMnyango Wezohwebo ngoLwesithathu.
Uhlu lwezimpahla zamadola aseMelika lwehle ngo-18% naphezu kokwenyuka okungu-44% konyaka nonyaka ezintengo zezimoto esezisetshenzisiwe kanye noshintsho olujwayelekile olwenziwa abakhiqizi bezimoto bakhokhela izimoto ezintsha ezibeka phambili amamodeli abo anenzuzo kakhulu.Isilinganiso senani lokuthenga.
Lokhu kuhlanekezelwa kwentengo okuyingqophamlando kukhuphule kakhulu amanani entengo e-dollar, futhi kungabangela ukuthi lezi zinhlobo zezimpahla zikhuphuke ngezindlela zomlando. Kodwa inani langempela lezimoto ohlwini lwezimpahla liwile - sizofika kulokho ngokuhamba kwesikhathi - futhi akukho ngisho nokukhuphuka amanani emoto angakwazi ukuyikhokhela.
Isilinganiso se-inventory-to-sales - i-inventories yamadola ehlukaniswe ngokudayiswa kwamadola, inciphisa amanani entengo ephakeme - yehla futhi ngo-Okthoba ukuze irekhode ukwehla ngo-Ephreli nangoMeyi, okuphansi kakhulu kwedatha ye-1992:
Ngenhla: Ngemva kwesikhathi sika-Lehman ekupheleni kuka-2008, ukuthengwa kwezimoto ezintsha kwehla, futhi i-United States yagcwala i-inventory kungazelelwe, futhi isilinganiso se-inventory-to-sale sakhuphuka. Uhlelo lwango-Julayi 2009 lwe-cash-for-clunkers lwathuthukisa ukuthengiswa kafushane, kwaphusha. yehle ngenani le-inventory-to-sale inyanga.
Ukwehla kwezinga lokuthengisa ngoMashi nango-Ephreli 2020 kubangele ukukhuphuka okukhulu kwenani lempahla nokuthengisa. Ukushaqeka kokunikezwa okulandelayo kanye nokushaqeka kwesidingo okwakhuthazwa ngasikhathi sinye kwaba nemiphumela eqhubekayo.
Ukucacisa: Okungenhla kumayelana nempahla ehlanganisiwe yezimoto ezintsha nezike zasetshenziswa kanye nezingxenye ngamadola.Okulandelayo yizimoto ezintsha nje, ngamayunithi.Kokulandelayo, sizokwethula izimoto ezisetshenzisiwe ngamayunithi.
Impahla engakathengiswa yezimoto ezintsha namaloli amancane yayingama-995,568 ngoNovemba (yenyuke ngo-8% kusukela ngo-Okthoba, Hallelujah), yehle ngo-64% isuka ezimotweni ezintsha eziyizigidi ezingama-2.76 ngoNovemba 2020 yehle isuka ku-3.5 ngoNovemba 2020 Inventory yehle ngo-71% ​​ngoNovemba 2019 ngo-100, izimoto, ngokusho kweCox Automotive.
Izinsuku zokuhlinzekwa ngoNovemba bekuyizinsuku ezingama-32 futhi bekusebangeni elifanayo lezinsuku ezingama-29 kuye kwezingama-33 kusukela ngoMeyi.
Ukunikezwa okunempilo cishe izinsuku ezingama-60. NgoNovemba 2020, ukuhlinzekwa kuyizinsuku ezingama-70. Ngo-Okthoba 2019, ukunikezwa kwakuyizinsuku ezingama-88 - izindaba ezimbi ngakolunye uhlangothi, okuphakamisa ukuthi isidingo sokupholisa siholele ekuchithweni kwempahla.
Isilinganiso senani lezinsuku ezithatha abathengisi ukuthengisa imoto entsha sehle kakhulu ngoNovemba, ngokusho kweCox Automotive, njengoba izimoto eziningi zayalelwa ngamakhasimende futhi zishiwo lapho ekugcineni zehliswa enkampanini yenethiwekhi, uhlu lwabadayisi. inkatho empeleni incane kakhulu.
Ukuthengisa kwehle kakhulu ngenxa yezimpahla ezitholakalayo. Ngokusho kwe-BEA, izinga lokuthengisa lonyaka lezimoto ezintsha lehle ngo-19% unyaka nonyaka ngoNovemba kanye no-25% kusukela ngoNovemba 2019, njengoba bekungekho okuncane okutholakalayo okuthengiswayo:
I-Toyota ibe nehlobo eliqinile ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, igwema iningi lokushoda kwe-semiconductor ngokusebenzisa isivumelwano esikhethekile nabahlinzeki bayo be-semiconductor eminyakeni eyishumi edlule. Ngesikhathi abanye abakhiqizi bezimoto bephelelwa yimpahla, ukuthengisa kwabo kwanda. Amadili aphelelwa yisikhathi ngemva kwezinyanga ezintathu kuya kweziyisithupha. ehlobo, ukukhiqizwa kwe-Toyota kwakuhlaselwe ukushoda kwe-semiconductor, futhi ukuncishiswa okukhulu kokukhiqiza kwabe kwehla kubathengisi kanye nempahla yabo.
AbakwaGM kanye nabakwaFord bashaywe kanzima ngenxa yokushoda kwama-semiconductor ekuqaleni konyaka, kodwa manje sebethole izinto ezithile ezidingekayo futhi ukukhiqizwa kuyaqala, njengoba iToyota isagaywa.
Izinsuku zabathengisi bakwaToyota zehle zaba yizinsuku ezingu-16 ngenxa yokuthi abathengisi abanazo izimoto endaweni yabo manje, badayisa amayunithi a-odiwe ngamakhasimende, noma badayisa amayunithi abehamba ngaphambi kokuba baphume enkampanini yenethiwekhi. .
Kodwa iqoqo lezimoto zeFord neLincoln lenyuke laya ezinsukwini ezingama-39. Ukunikezwa kwezimoto zakwaChevrolet kukhushulwa kwaba yizinsuku ezingama-32. Njengomkhiqizi osezingeni eliphezulu labo bonke abakhiqizi abahlale bebeka phambili, ukuhlinzekwa kwama-pickup asayizi ogcwele kubonakala kuthuthukisa ama-brand ase-US, ngokusho kwe-Cox Automotive:
Ngokungafani nezimoto ezintsha, azikho ukushoda kwezimoto ezisetshenzisiwe, ngaphandle kwezimoto ezisezingeni eliphansi kakhulu. Kodwa ukutholakala kwezimoto kuncane. Isamba sezimoto ezisetshenzisiwe ezinkampanini ezithengisayo sikhuphuke ngo-2.7% kusukela ngo-Okthoba safinyelela ezigidini ezingu-2.31 ngoNovemba, sehle ngo-11% kusukela ngoNovemba 2020, ngokusho kudatha evela ku-Cox Automotive namuhla.
Kulezo zimoto eziyizigidi ezingu-2.31, eziyizigidi ezingu-1.29 kwakungezabathengisi abagunyaziwe (njengabadayisi bakwaFord noma abadayisi beToyota). Izimoto eziyizigidi ezingu-1.01 zisezandleni zabathengisi abaningi abazimele, kusukela emabhizinisini amancane kuya eCarMax.
Ukunikezwa ekupheleni kukaNovemba kwakuyizinsuku ezingama-44 - kubuyele ebangeni elijwayelekile - kodwa lokho kwehle ngo-15% kusukela ngoNovemba 2020, njengoba ukuthengiswa kukaNovemba bekukhuphuke ngo-5% unyaka nonyaka.
Ukwenyuka kwezintengo ezimaphakathi zokufakwa kuhlu kwezimoto ezisetshenzisiwe ku-invento kuqinisekisa ukukhuphuka okungenangqondo kwezintengo zezimoto ezisetshenzisiwe eziqala ehlobo lika-2020 (zikhuphuke ngo-31% unyaka nonyaka ngoNovemba):
Isilinganiso senani lentengo yokufakwa kuhlu yomthengisi okhokhelwayo esetshenzisiwe senyuke saya ngaphansi nje kuka-$30,000 nge-odometer eyisilinganiso samamayela angu-62,000. Kubathengisi abazimele, intengo yokufakwa kuhlu emaphakathi ikhuphuke yafinyelela cishe ku-$25,000, ngesilinganiso samamayela angu-78,000 ku-odometer.
Njengoba wonke umuntu ekhuphula amanani, abadayisi abangaphansi kuka-$15,000 basale kancane. Kodwa ukunikezwa kuningi lapho amanani entengo ephezulu.Kuze kube manje, kuyamangaza ukuthi abantu baseMelika bebezimisele, ngisho nokulangazelela, ukukhokha lezi ntengo ezingenangqondo esikhundleni sokushayela lokho asebenakho unyaka noma emibili:
Kujabulele ukufunda i-WOLF STREET futhi ufuna ukuyisekela?Sebenzisa isivimbeli sezikhangiso - ngibona ngokuphelele ukuthi kungani - kodwa ufuna ukusekela isayithi?Unganikela.Ngiyabonga kakhulu.Chofoza ubhiya nezinkomishi zetiye eziqhwa ukuze ufunde ukuthi:
Inikeza ingcebo yemininingwane yokuthi abakhiqizi bezimoto ezintsha bahlela kanjani ukusebenza kwabo kokukhiqiza (okunenzuzo enkulu kuqala, bese kuba yimikhiqizo esezingeni eliphansi, okungenzeka yakhelwe ukukhulisa imali engenayo/ingqikithi yenzuzo ngokulingana nokubandlululwa kwamanani).
Lokho kunengqondo…yize futhi kukhombisa ukwehla okukhulu okungenzeka ekukhiqizweni kwemoto iyonke (uma abantu bangaphakathi benethezekile ngokuncipha kwenkampani, “ukuphepha” kokuthengiswa kwenani elikhulu kungaba umlutha...Ebhekene nesidingo esingesihle Isiqinisekiso, ubani odinga ubungozi/ ikhanda lokukhiqiza imoto ene-margin ephansi?)
Ngokomlando, wonke umuntu wayefuna ukukala ukuze anciphise izindleko eziphansi zokukhiqiza…bese ukumaketha kungase kukhathazeke ngokunye.
Kodwa manje abakhiqizi babonakala beveza i-vibe yokuthi bangase bamukele u-80% noma u-60% wosayizi wangempela...inqobo nje uma besakwazi ukudayisa embonini yezokuthutha.
Awukaze uhlale ezweni elayeka ukuzama ukwehlisa izindleko ezincane zokukhiqiza/intengo yempahla…kungaba izwe elimpofu ngokwezinto ezibonakalayo kubantu abaningi.
U-Adam Smith uxwayise ngokuthi amazwe “anama-margins enzuzo ephezulu” azobhujiswa.sho nje.Ngo-1776, unyaka wenguquko yethu, uSmith washicilela incwadi yakhe yezomnotho eyisithombe, Ingcebo Yezizwe.
Izilinganiso zenzuzo ephezulu zizwakala zizinhle uze ubone ukuthi kusho ukuthi ingxenye yemali etholwa abasebenzi incane kakhulu ukuthi ingasimama.Lena yindlela yokungalingani kwengcebo.
Okunye kwalokhu kuyadingeka ukuze kusekelwe isibalo esikhulu sabantu asebekhulile abathatha umhlalaphansi (imali yenzuzo -> izinkokhelo zempesheni).
Kodwa njengoba uHenry Ford asho, ukuchuma okukhulu kunakho konke kudinga ukukhokhela izisebenzi ezanele ukuze zithenge abakwenzayo. Yilokhu okwenza inzuzo enkulu ngokweseka asebethathe umhlalaphansi.
Bacabanga ukuthi ukukhokha u-$5 kungcono kunokuqeqesha abasebenzi abasha kanye nokubekezelela ukubambezeleka emgqeni womhlangano, yingakho bekwenza, kodwa bakusebenzisa njengendlela yokuxhumana nomphakathi.
Kuyasiza ukuchaza ukuthi onxiwankulu abanombono omfishane bayishaya indiva kanjani indlela yakwaFord lapho sebekwazi ukwenza izikole zikahulumeni zikhiqize ngobuningi abasebenzi abandikindiki ababengakwazi ukubekezelela umsebenzi wokuhlanganisa ophindaphindwayo…
Umsebenzi welayini wokuhlanganisa “wokubamba ingqondo” awukona lokhu ocabanga ukuthi uyikho.Kuyancipha futhi kunciphe ukusebenza kwezandla kulayini wokuhlanganisa.Ukushisela okuningi kwenziwa ngamarobhothi…ukupenda kwenziwa amarobhothi…ukuhlanganiswa kwangaphakathi kwenziwa ngemishini (abasizi abangabantu – ukuphakamisa nokubekwa ngaphansi kokuqondisa komuntu).Amawindi omoya abekwe irobhothi…wonke lawa marobhothi adinga ukunakekelwa kanye nolwazi lokusebenza. Ezimweni eziningi, abantu benza ukuhlola okubonakalayo kokusebenza kwerobhothi (ukonakala kopende, ukulungisa upende, ukuqondanisa kwamaphaneli, njll.) .
Izimoto zakhiwe emafekthri ane-air-conditioning, iningi lawo elihlanzekile kunekhishi elihlala abantu.
Abaphothule esikoleni somphakathi manje abanazo izibali futhi abakwazi ngisho nokushintsha. Uma uzizwa udabukile, thenga okuthile okungavamile esitolo segilosa ngemali engaphansi kuka-$10, unikeze ngo-10 bese ukushintshela koku-5 kanye nokukodwa, bese buka umabhalane amehlo acwebile.
Ukuthengisa amanani aphansi ngentengo ephakeme kakhulu kulungele uhlobo lwemali olushibhile namazinga esikweletu aphansi.Ukwehla okujwayelekile, hhayi ukwehla kwanamuhla nokuhlekisayo kwakamuva.
Uma inkampani yezimoto ifuna ukuthengisa ulayini womkhiqizo othile, “ilungelo” labo lelo ngaphansi kwe-Free Enterprise.
Ake sicabange ukuthi i-Walmart ithola noma yakha ibhizinisi lokukhiqiza izimoto.Yakha isicabha esi-4 esihle, injini yamasilinda angu-4, ukuhanjiswa okulula okuzenzakalelayo, ugesi omncane kakhulu, njll, futhi ukugcine kulula ngangokunokwenzeka. Bese, banemibala emi-3 kuphela, ebomvu, okumhlophe nokuluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka.
Intengo eyodwa.Beka imodeli eduze kwe-Walmart ngayinye.Intengo ka-$9,999.Akukho kuxoxisana.Misa inzalo ne-amortization, uthatha u-5% iminyaka engu-5.(Inkokhelo yanyanga zonke ingu-$200 ncamashi ngenyanga).
Nakanjani "akukona ukuxoxisana" nganoma yini. Umuntu angayithenga njengoba injalo.Umgomo uwukuthengisa imoto ngemizuzu engu-30 noma ngaphansi futhi ilethwe e-Walmart Auto ngosuku olulandelayo.Cishe yonke into ingenziwa ku-inthanethi e-Wal-Mart Auto. com.
Sekungamashumi eminyaka ngizibuza ukuthi kungani i-Walmart ingakwenzanga lokhu.Ngingacabanga izinsongo ezinkulu ezivela kumanethiwekhi omthengisi wezimoto, abakhiqizi bezimoto basekhaya, futhi-ke, amabhange enza ukuhlasela kwe-Tucker kunoma ubani ozama.
Yebo, kuzwakale kunengqondo emashumini eminyaka.Kodwa kuvela ukuthi abantu baseMelika abathandi ukuthenga izimoto ezincane, ezishibhile - bambalwa abakwenzayo, kodwa izinombolo zincane kakhulu.Zamile izikhathi eziningi ngaphambili futhi lezo zimoto azithengiswa. Sasivame ukuthengisa iFord Festiva ngo-1990 ngo-$4,999 entsha futhi akekho owayesenza imali ngayo, kodwa sasikwazi ukuthengisa eyodwa noma 2 kuphela ngenyanga kanye namaveni ayi-150 kuphela. Bangakhetha ukuthenga izingane ezineminyaka emine ezinkulu nezinhle. kunezinto eziyisisekelo, ezincane nezishibhile.Abantu baseMelika bayazijabulisa ngezimoto zabo.
U-Marcus/Wolfe – Uma noma ubani ebuyela emuva ngesikhathi ngaphambi kweWWII, ngiyaqiniseka ukuthi uSears uzame izimoto/izithuthuthu “ezithengekayo.Ngaphandle kwempumelelo, ekugcineni…
Imindeni eminingi engihlala kuyo ikhetha imoto encane njengeyesibili - kodwa ifuna imoto eke yasetshenziswa ngoba ishibhile. Le moto isetshenziswa njengemoto yowesifazane nengane ohambweni olude - sisho amahora amabili kuya kwamane. imisebenzi ekhokhayo (iningi labo lapha) likhetha izimoto ezincane ezisetshenzisiwe.Bafuna imoto enkulu ngaphandle uma behlala kuyo.
Nokho, ngokuvamile abazithandi izimoto zaseMelika noma zaseYurophu, njengoba lezi zimoto ezincane zinedumela lokubhidliza futhi zife zisencane kulezi zintaba.IToyota encane noma amaDatsuns amadala nama-Izuzu aphila phakade emigwaqweni ewubhuqu futhi ayidubula emifudlaneni ehambayo. kuleyo migwaqo. Lokhu akuyona into engavamile kunoma iyiphi indawo yasemaphandleni entshonalanga.
Abantu abaningi lapha bakhetha iToyota, Ford 150 noma iRanger endala, namaloli amakhulu e-Dodge.Amanye amaloli aseMelika ahlala isikhathi eside kunezimoto.Ngicabanga ukuthi i-Dodge Ram ingase ibe uphawu lwesimo, i-IDK.
Ngithanda kakhulu ukubukeka nokwakhiwa kwe-4×4 Ford explorers kanye neBronkos, kodwa ukube nginemali bengingabaza ukuthenga entsha njengoba ibiza cishe njenge-base ye-Toyota. Abazange banamathele noma hlala isikhathi eside.


Isikhathi sokuthumela: May-06-2022