UMichael DeBlasio waphothula ukwakhiwa kweKahuna Burger yegatsha Elide ngemva kwezinyanga ezine kunalokho obekuhleliwe. Lapho ebheka amathuba okuwa, walungiselela ukubambezeleka okwengeziwe kwamakhasimende akhe.
Intengo yamafasitela iyenyuka.Amanani amafasitela ezingilazi namafreyimu e-aluminium ayenyuka.Amathayela ophahleni, ukuphahla kanye nezintengo zokuseceleni akhuphuka ebhodini.Ake sithi angathola into kuqala.
“Ngicabanga ukuthi umsebenzi wami nsuku zonke ukuthola engifuna ukukuthenga ngaphambi kokuthi ngibeke inani,” kusho uDeBlasio, umphathi wephrojekthi ye-Structural Concepts Inc. yase-Ocean Town kanye ne-DeBo Construction yase-Belmar.” Ngaba umtholi esikhundleni sokuba umthengi. . Umsangano lo.”
Izinkampani zokwakha nezitolo ezindaweni ezisogwini zibhekene nokuntuleka kwezinto zokwakha, okuziphoqa ukuba zikhokhe amanani aphakeme, zithole abahlinzeki abasha futhi zicele amakhasimende ukuthi alinde ngesineke.
Lo mncintiswano udalele ikhanda embonini okumele ngabe iyaphumelela.Amabhizinisi nabathengi bezindlu bebesebenzisa inzalo ephansi kakhulu ukuze kufukulwe umnotho.
Kepha isidingo sicindezela uchungechunge lokunikezela, oluzama ukuqala kabusha ngemuva kokuthi lucishe lwavalwa ekuqaleni kwalolu bhubhane.
"Lokhu kungaphezu kwento eyodwa," kusho uRudi Leuschner, uprofesa wezokuphathwa kokuthengwa kwempahla e-Newark Rutgers School of Business.
Uthe: “Uma ucabanga nganoma yimuphi umkhiqizo ozogcina ungene esitolo sokudayisa noma usonkontileka, lowo mkhiqizo uzoba nezinguquko eziningi ngaphambi kokuthi ufike lapho.” “Kuzo zonke izikhathi zenqubo, kungase kube nokubambezeleka, noma Kungase kubambeke ndawana thize. Khona-ke zonke lezi zinto ezincane ziyahlangana ukuze zibangele ukubambezeleka okukhulu, ukuphazamiseka okukhulu, nokunye.”
U-Sebastian Vaccaro usenesitolo sezingxenyekazi ze-Asbury Park iminyaka engu-38 futhi unezinto ezingaba ngu-60,000.
Uthe ngaphambi kwalolu bhubhane, abahlinzeki bakhe bangahlangabezana nama-98% wemiyalo yakhe. Manje, cishe sekungama-60%.Wengeza abanye abahlinzeki ababili, ezama ukuthola imikhiqizo abeyidinga.
Kwesinye isikhathi, uba nebhadi; indiza emanzi ye-Swiffer isinezinyanga ezine ingekho esitokweni.Ngezinye izikhathi, kufanele akhokhe i-premium futhi adlulisele izindleko ekhasimendeni.
"Kusukela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, isibalo samapayipi e-PVC siphindeke ngaphezu kokuphindwe kabili," kusho uVaccaro. Eqinisweni, ngezikhathi ezithile, lapho si-oda amapayipi e-PVC, sinqunyelwe inani lokuthenga. Ngiyazi umphakeli futhi ungathenga eziyi-10 kuphela ngesikhathi, futhi ngivame ukwenza Thenga izingcezu ezingama-50. ”
Ukuphazamiseka kwempahla yokwakha kuwukushaqeka kwakamuva kwalokho ochwepheshe be-supply chain abakubiza ngokuthi umphumela we-bullwhip, okwenzeka lapho ukunikezwa kanye nesidingo kungalingani, okubangela ukushaqeka ekupheleni komugqa wokukhiqiza.
Kuvele ngesikhathi ubhubhane luqubuka entwasahlobo ka-2020 futhi lwadala ukushoda kwephepha lasendlini yangasese, izibulala-magciwane kanye nemishini yokuzivikela. Yize la maphrojekthi ezilungisile, kwavela okunye ukushiyeka, kusuka kuma-semiconductor chips asetshenziswa ukwenza izimoto kuya ezintweni ezisetshenziswa ukwenza amabhodi okubhukuda.
Ngokusho kwedatha ye-Federal Reserve Bank yaseMinneapolis, inkomba yentengo yabathengi, ekala intengo yezinto ezingu-80,000 ngenyanga, kulindeleke ukuthi ikhuphuke ngo-4.8% kulo nyaka, okuwukunyuka okukhulu kakhulu kusukela izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali likhuphuke ngo-5.4% 1990.
Ezinye izinto zibiza kakhulu kunezinye.Amapayipi e-PVC akhuphuke ngo-78% kusukela ngo-August 2020 kuya ku-August 2021; omabonakude banyuke ngo-13.3%; ngokwemininingwane evela ku-US Bureau of Labor Statistics, ifenisha yamagumbi okuhlala, amakhishi nezindawo zokudlela inyuke ngo-12%.
"Cishe zonke izimboni zethu zinezinkinga zokuhlinzeka," kusho uJohn Fitzgerald, umongameli kanye ne-CEO yeMagyar Bank eNew Brunswick.
Abakhi basesikhathini esinzima kakhulu. Babone amaphrojekthi athile ngaphambi kokuhlehla, njengokukhuphuka kwezingodo, amanye amaphrojekthi aqhubeka nokukhuphuka.
U-Sanchoy Das, umbhali wencwadi ethi “Ukugcwaliseka Okusheshayo: Ukushintsha Imishini Yemboni Yokudayisa,” uthe uma impahla iyinkimbinkimbi kakhulu nebanga lokuhamba lide, maningi amathuba okuthi uchungechunge lokuhlinzeka lungene enkingeni.
Ngokwesibonelo, amanani ezinto eziyisisekelo ezinjengokhuni, insimbi, nokhonkolo, okukhiqizwa ngokuyinhloko e-United States, ehlile ngemva kokunyuka ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka. izinto zokusetshenziswa ezivela phesheya kwezilwandle, okubangela ukubambezeleka.
UDas uthe ngesikhathi esifanayo, izinto zokuhlanganisa izinto ezisebenza ngogesi ezithunyelwa zisuka e-Asia noma eMexico zibhekene nengwadla, futhi abahlinzeki bawo basebenza kanzima ukuze bawandise ukuze bahlangabezane nezidingo zamakhasimende.
Futhi bonke bathintwa ukushoda okungapheli kwabashayeli bamaloli noma isimo sezulu esibi kakhulu, njengokuvalwa kwezitshalo zamakhemikhali eTexas ngoFebhuwari wonyaka odlule.
Uprofesa waseNewark New Jersey Institute of Technology uDas uthe: "Ngesikhathi kuqala ubhubhane, iningi lale mithombo lavalwa langena kwimodi yevolumu ephansi, futhi lalibuya ngokucophelela." “Ulayini wemikhumbi wawucishe ube ngu-zero isikhashana, futhi manje bangena ngokuzumayo Ngesikhathi se-boom. Inani lemikhumbi lilungisiwe. Awukwazi ukwakha umkhumbi ngobusuku obubodwa.”
Abakhi bazama ukuzivumelanisa nezimo.Isikhulu Esiphethe Ezezimali uBrad O'Connor uthe i-Old Bridge-based Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. inciphise isibalo sezindlu ezidayisayo ezithuthukiswayo ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukuthi ingaqedwa ngesikhathi.
Uthe amanani ayakhuphuka, kodwa imakethe yezindlu iqine ngokwanele ukuthi amakhasimende azimisele ukuyikhokhela.
U-O’Connor uthe: “Lokhu kusho ukuthi uma singathengisa zonke izindawo, singase sikwazi ukudayisa izingcezu eziyisithupha kuya kweziyisishiyagalombili ngesonto.” Yakha ohlelweni lwezikhathi olufanele. Asifuni ukudayisa izindlu eziningi esingakwazi ukuziqala.”
Ngokusho kwedatha evela ku-US Bureau of Labor Statistics, ochwepheshe be-supply chain bathi ngokwehla kwamanani ezinkuni, ingcindezi yokwehla kwamandla emali kweminye imikhiqizo izoba eyesikhashana. Kusukela ngoMeyi, amanani entengo yezinkuni ehle ngo-49%.
Kodwa akukapheleli okwamanje.I-Das ithe abakhiqizi abafuni ukukhulisa umkhiqizo, futhi bazoba nesimo sokugcwala ngokweqile lapho uchungechunge lokuhlinzeka luxazulula izinkinga.
“Akukhona ukuthi (ukwenyuka kwentengo) kungokwaphakade, kodwa kungase kuthathe isikhashana ukungena engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka ozayo,” usho kanje.
UMichael DeBlasio uthe ufunde isifundo ekuqaleni kwalolu bhubhane, lapho ezothola ukwenyuka kwamanani entengo. Ngakho waqala ukufaka "isigatshana sobhubhane" kwinkontileka yakhe, okukhumbuza inhlawulo kaphethiloli okuzonyuka ngayo izinkampani zezokuthutha uma intengo kaphethiloli ikhuphuka.
Uma intengo ikhuphuka kakhulu ngemva kokuqala kwephrojekthi, isigatshana somthetho simvumela ukuba adlulisele izindleko eziphakeme kukhasimende.
"Cha, akukho okuba ngcono," kusho uDe Blasio kuleli sonto. "Futhi ngicabanga ukuthi isimo manje sithatha isikhathi eside kunezinyanga eziyisithupha ezedlule."
Michael L. Diamond is a business reporter who has been writing articles about the economy and healthcare industry in New Jersey for more than 20 years.You can contact him at mdiamond@gannettnj.com.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jan-07-2022